I’m going to post an Ask HN about what am I supposed to do when I’m “disrupted”. I work in film / video / CG where the bread and butter is short form advertising for Youtube, Instagram and TV.

It’s painfully obvious that in 1 year the job might be exceedingly more difficult than it is now.

When you animate a horse, does it have 5 legs with weird backwards joints? If not, your job is probably safe for now.

How long do you think until the horse looks perfect? 12 months? 5 years? I’m still 30 and I don’t see how my industry won’t be entirely disrupted by this within the next decade.

And that’s my optimistic projection. It could be we have amazing output in 24 months.

It's not about random short clips - imagine introducing a character like Mickey Mouse and reusing him everywhere with the same character - my guess is it's going to take a while until "transfer" like that will work reliably.

Dreambooth and Texual inversion is already here, and it's been just over a month since Stable Diffusion was released, so I'd bet on sooner rather than later.

https://github.com/XavierXiao/Dreambooth-Stable-Diffusion

https://textual-inversion.github.io/